Big Value Fantasy Buys After Week 3
With another week of football in the books - and Ceedee Lamb making me look really great Monday night - I present to you my best buys and sells for this week. Trust me, there are some ways you can create massive value for your team here.
The Bengals offense will not reach a lower point than it saw in the first two weeks of the season. It looked a little better in week 3 against the Jets, and should continue to trend upward as the new guys get acclimated to playing together in the new environment for the first time. Joe Burrow is an especially timing based QB, and once the line starts to gain this traction, he should be able to become much more effective. As Ja'Marr Chase is still far and away his favorite target and most frequent first read, he has potential to once again explode as he did last year. Based on the questions I've been asked and the vibes I've been getting, it seems like Chase owners are willing to sell. If that's the case, his value is at an all time low, and it would be in your best interest to capitalize on these people selling low, and do some buying low yourself.
Lenny earned 91% of the RB snaps this week for Tampa as he continues his workhorse role for an offense that - when fully healthy - is amongst the best in football. As I mentioned last week when discussing Tom Brady, Mike Evans is back this week, and the returns of Chris Godwin and Donovan Smith shouldn't be too far around the corner either. This offense should look a lot better when some of these reinforcements return, and the workhorse RB in a high powered offense is never a bad player to roster. Fournette is only the RB16 in PPR formats this year, partially because of the offensive woes we've seen in Tampa to this point, and also because he has scored zero touchdowns. Fournette has the potential to be a mid tier RB1, so there is definitely some value here. Just as a note here, Rachaad White would be an important handcuff too try and pick up as well if you do go the Fournette route.
It's clear to anybody who watched Monday Night Football that Tony Pollard is the quicker, more explosive back of the Cowboys' proverbial two headed monster in the backfield. He's been taking part in his usual 50/50 split with Zeke, but he has produced efficiently in his touches. He's bound to score some touchdowns soon as well, making him a decent FLEX start any given Sunday. If Elliott were to go down, Pollard would be a fringe RB1 every week. Tony is a solid option for your bench that can fill in for bye weeks as needed, with the upside of having a much larger impact.
Cooper has been a surprise to start the season, posting 2 100+ yard performances with Jacoby Brissett under center. That being said, a lot has gone his way as of late. He's seen nice game scripts and matchups against inexperienced secondaries to help him produce these stat lines. With Nick Chubb looking as explosive as he has this year, and the schedule getting tougher, I expect both of these perks to slowly fade away from Cooper fairly soon. He may not drop off into nothingness, but I do think this is as high as his value will be at least until Deshaun Watson returns. Once he does, there is still uncertainty as to whether Watson will look sharp, and if he will use Cooper as a true alpha receiver out the gate. You can definitely find a less cloudy future elsewhere.
Unfortunately for this ultra talented player, he is in a really poor situation for fantasy football. Seattle's identity is running the football, and with Geno Smith under center, even when they do pass, it won't be too effective. Case in point: Metcalf was targeted 12 times this week, and only made 5 catches. However, with a TD, he was still able to return a respectable fantasy week. This passing game will probably never get going, so DK Metcalf's WR2 performances like this will be few and far between. Sell him off of one now to avoid a headache later.
Singletary had a nice week this week - and to be frank he'll probably have more nice weeks in the future - but you just can't depend on it. His usage is inconsistent at best, and these Bills are not a team that has looked to make the run game a true strength in their system anytime recently. There are bound to be RB hungry rosters in your league, and you can likely dangle his 73% snap share and high score this week to try and get them to bite.