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Buying Low and Selling High on Early Season Surprises



After week 2, we have a clearer picture of players and their roles in their offenses. Let's take advantage and try to find some value through the trade market.


Buys:

Cam Akers:

After a week one blowout loss that saw Cam Akers nearly completely phased out of the Rams' offense, he bounced back in week 2 on a peripheral basis. He was on the field for more snaps than Darrell Henderson, had more targets than Darrell Henderson, and gained more scrimmage yards than Darrell Henderson. Nothing speaks more to a coach's faith in a halfback than rolling him out there after a tough week, and Sean McVay's offense is an awesome one to be a halfback in. The aforementioned Henderson also scored a TD last week while Akers was held off the score sheet. This is bound to change with this trend in usage. Grab Akers now while his value is hidden.


Tom Brady:

I can tell you from experience that Tom Brady owners are panicking right now after two mediocre weeks and countless injuries to the Tampa offense. Brady owners are willing to go to desperate lengths to replace him. Especially if you have QB depth to hold on to until the Bucs get right, you may be able to drastically upgrade other parts of your roster by trading away a high-to-mid tier quarterback for Brady. It may be a tough few weeks for TB12 with the offense looking barren for the near future, but Mike Evans is only suspended for one week, Chris Godwin and Donovan Smith are bound to return, and the new interior offensive line will continue to develop together as they keep playing. Everyone bets against Brady every year, but he can be a great QB for you at the end of the year, while also helping you bolster weaknesses in your lineup now.


Ceedee Lamb:

Ceedee was Cooper Rush's favorite target last year in his game against the Vikings, and he received 11 more looks from Rush this week against Cincy. Now with Dalton Schultz banged up and set to either miss time or play through a tough injury, Lamb is set to be the only established route runner this team has. My point being: Ceedee Lamb has a stable floor with Cooper Rush at quarterback. When Dak Prescott returns, Lamb is bound to explode. He was being drafted as a WR1 for a reason, and after two quiet weeks, may be able to be obtained at a discount. The touchdowns will come, and until then, you can ride the double digit targets to solid weeks. Capitalize on this upside quickly before his favorable week 3 matchup against a poor Giants' secondary.


Sells:

Antonio Gibson:

This one is pretty simple. Gibson never caught on with this coaching staff, and has seemingly never been seen in a favorable light. Even with Brian Robinson's unfortunate injury, Gibson is still in a timeshare with J.D. McKissic, who splits snaps with him at a near 50/50 clip. McKissic also is the third down back, which means he gets the more valuable snaps here. When Robinson returns, this will be even more of a mess. Gibson has put up two consecutive double digit performances landing him as the RB11. No one will buy him at that price from you, but maybe you can leverage this to get some value out of Gibson that you won't be able to find as the season moves on.


Drake London:

Week 2 was a best case scenario for Drake London's fantasy output. The Falcons offense nearly pulled off a crazy upset coming back from being down 28-3, and were running high paced offensive drives for the whole second half. What ensued was London's burst onto the scene, with 8 catches for 86 yards and 1 TD. There's no chance I trust Marcus Mariota to give any receiver this type of stat line every week. He can also steal tons of red zone touches - and therefore touchdowns - with his running ability. Tyler Allgeier also began to get in the mix this week, and it seems like Arthur Smith would like both him and Cordarelle Patterson to see the ball a considerable amount. Finally, Kyle Pitts has done absolutely nothing these first two weeks, and I refuse to believe this offense's best player will continue to be a non-factor. There's just too many question marks here for Drake London to be considered a viable fantasy option every single week. I recommend selling high after a nice performance.


Jaylen Waddle:

Just hear me out on this one. Yes, Waddle was absolutely electric, and even received 19 targets from Tua Tagovailoa in week 2 against Baltimore. Yes, Jaylen Waddle is very good, and will continue to be very good, both in fantasy and as a real life player. However, this team will not be down by 21 in the fourth quarter every game, will not throw the ball 50 times every game, and has Tyreek Hill to feed as well. 19 targets is a once in a career amount of volume, especially in an offense as run heavy as Mike McDaniel's probably will be. The hype is sky high on the whole Dolphins offense right now, and you can probably sell Jaylen Waddle as a legit fantasy WR1 and receive a player with a more consistent future outlook in return. In no way do I think Waddle should be sold for cheap, nor do I think he is a must sell, but if you can take advantage of the levels of talk surrounding Miami's offense right now, pull the trigger.


As a quick side note, last week, I advised selling Clyde Edwards-Helaire high, due to his seemingly three man split with Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon in that backfield. This week, McKinnon actually outsnapped CEH straight up. However, Clyde rushed with ridiculously unsustainable efficiency to salvage the day for his fantasy owners. I am doubling down on my sell Clyde advice from last week after seeing the Chiefs' backfield usage numbers this week.

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