DFS: Must-Start and Values For Week Seven
I have found that in DFS, especially GPP tournaments, that there are always players who just have to be in your lineup in order to win. By this I mean that certain studs with great matchups tend to be almost must-plays in these types of tournaments. I’m going to list three guys I think are essentially must-plays in GPP play. Note: All prices used in this analysis are for the site FanDuel but players are priced similarly on most sites relative to each other.
My guy Mahomes is going to be out for quite a while. So we have to find some other options at the deepest position in fantasy: it shouldn’t be too much of an issue. Let’s get right in to these weeks must-starts and values.
Must-Starts For Week Seven:
Deshaun Watson $8300
Watson has had two bad games this year scoring 11.6 and 12.86 so he clearly isn’t Patrick Mahomes. However, he’s scored over 25+ points in every other game and this week faces the Colts defense whose secondary has been absolutely decimated by injuries the last couple of weeks. The lack of a consistent run game allows Watson to throw for over 30 passes in every game but one. He is a high floor, high upside guy who should definitely find his way into your lineup this week.
Kyler Murray $7700
He’s a rookie with an atrocious offensive line. I know. He’s also scored 15+ points in every single game this year. The only quarterback other than Mahomes to do so this year. Not to mention the fact that he now faces arguably the worst secondary in football in the New York Giants. He’s thrown 32+ passes in every game this season. He has a surprisingly high floor this week and his matchup makes his upside awesome.
Dalvin Cook $8300
Once again, matchup makes him a must-start this week. The Detroit Lions defense has been just awful up until this point. Cook is looking to bounce back after a rough outing against the great Philly D-Line. He could have a potentially ridiculous week on the road in Detroit. Not much else really needs to be said about his talent.
Tevin Coleman $6200
This must-start is solely due to price and matchup. Not to mention that he has been a workhorse since coming back from injury to the tune of 18 touches per week and 15.7 and 13.1 fantasy points in the last two weeks. The Redskins run defense is horrible and in a game where the Niners should be up big quickly, they will run the ball quite a bit. Now in his third week back from injury, Coleman has potential for a big week.
Cooper Kupp $7800
I’ll be honest, WR is not really a must-start type position. The big guys like DHop and Mike Thomas are great but I would rather spend money on a running back. Anyways, Kupp has been incredible this season and considering the fact that Goff only completed 13 passes for 78 yards, Kupp did pretty well to get four receptions for 17 yards. The Rams are in desperate need of a win and now face a pretty terrible Falcons defense.
Evan Engram $6800
The Cardinals defense has been the worst I’ve ever seen against TEs this year allowing 20 points games to the likes of a rookie TJ Hockenson, Austin Hooper and more. A big week should be in store this weekend.
Values For Week Seven;
Derrick Henry $6500
Take two. He was horrible last week with 15 rushes for just 28 yards. The whole offense was so bad though that Mariota got benched in favor of Tannehill mid-way through the game. The Chargers rank 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game and Henry is the clear workhorse back in this offense. Coming off, HIS ONLY SINGLE DIGIT GAME, this season Henry is definitely a value play. Remember too that due to bye weeks and night games the pricing of running backs is skewed higher and therefore there really are not too many value plays this week.
John Brown $5900
Brown has been great for the Bills this year with 50+ receiving yards in every game this season. He now faces the Dolphins defense who has been the worst defense in football this season. Especially coming off a bye week, look for Brown to have what could be an explosive game.
Calvin Ridley $5500
His price does not matchup his talent whatsoever. Add in two straight weeks of great play and you have a guy who should definitely be in your lineups this weekend. Plus with Ramsey presumably shadowing Jones, Ryan is going to have to look in another direction in what should be a very high scoring game. Especially since the game is in a dome where Matt Ryan shines.
Darius Slayton $5400
The Cardinals have been just horrendous against the pass this year and I expect Daniel Jones and the Giants to take full advantage of this fact. Shepard is out once again and Slayton now will have a great matchup and hopefully good opportunity with 13 targets in the last two weeks. Look for him to have a big week.
Mike Williams $6200
His matchup is tough I understand that. But 23 targets in two weeks is so hard to pass up on. He is 6’4 and is due for a touchdown. He carries risk in terms of match up however the high target share makes him a great play for this week. This is especially due to how poorly the Chargers have played of late and howe desperate they are for a win.
Darren Waller $6200
If his production wasn’t enough to make him a play every single week, the $9 million a year extension he just signed should put you at ease. With Williams out, Carr is going to need to feed Waller this week.