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WEEK 11 STARTS AND SITS!


Let’s get into some Week 11 Starts and Sits!

START - Jakobi Meyers @ HOU

In the last three weeks, Meyers hasn’t had lower than a 40% target share. I’m expecting this game against Houston to be a close one, and if/when Cam throws the ball we know Meyers will be on the receiving end of it. Great matchup as well!

START - Taysom Hill vs ATL (ESPN ONLY)

The advantage of playing a QB at the TE position is unreal. The Saints have mentioned that Winston will not be a part of the game plan and will serve as a backup. A bad game for a QB is like 12-15 points, which is a GREAT game for any TE nowadays. The Top TE last week scored 13.1 Points!

START - Duke Johnson vs NE

Duke didn’t pull through last week. But no Texan really did. Watson had 14 Points (season low), Fuller had 8.8, and Cooks had 9.9. What’s important with Duke is the role he had. Duke played 95% of the offensive snaps and had 94% of the RB Touches. He’s a complete workhorse and has a great matchup against a NE defense that can’t stop the run.

START - Kalen Ballage vs NYJ

Since being elevated from the practice squad, Ballage has had back to back weeks with 17+ touches. With the absence of Justin Jackson and Austin Ekeler, Ballage has taken the step up as the workhorse RB. He’s got another “revenge game” here against the Jets and a chance at another workhorse role.

START - CeeDee Lamb @ MIN

The Vikings have been one of the worst team when it comes to defending slot WRs. We saw it when Danny Amendola put up 7/77 or Russell Gage with 4/64 to name a few examples, but it’s mainly because of rookie DB Jeff Gladney. CeeDee Lamb has a good opportunity to put up some numbers in that slot role, and in the limited time that we saw Andy Dalton as a starter, Lamb had 11 Targets in one game, 11 in another, and 5 in the last one. Not to mention rookie WRs tend to have big 2nd halves.

DESPERATE STARTS

- Adrian Peterson @ CAR; There’s been some mixed signals from Patricia about whether AP or KJ will be the main back in Swift’s absence. But considering the season long usage of both of these RBs, AP would be my choice. He’s got a great matchup and game script could be in his favor!

- Logan Thomas vs CIN; The Bengals have been one of the WORST defenses against TEs in 2020. Since Week 6, Logan Thomas is the TE6 in PPG (above Darren Waller). Alex Smith has also thrown for over 300 Yards in each of his last two games.

SIT - Ryan Tannehill @ BAL

The Tannehill magic has faded recently, he hasn’t had a 20 Point game since Week 6, and he now faces a tough Baltimore defense on the road. Not an ideal situation to start him in, and I’m looking for another QB if I have him as my starter.


SIT - Ronald Jones II vs LAR

Rojo had his highest rushing game of the year last week, going for almost 200 Yards on the ground. But I have a feeling he’s going to come back to earth here in Week 11 against a Top 5 run defense accompanied with Aaron Donald. We’ve seen Rojo disappear in negative game scripts and tough matchups, and this might be another one of those games.


SIT - Melvin Gordon vs MIA

With Phillip Lindsay back in the lineup, this backfield has really just turned into a huge mess. He’s averaged 10 Touches a game over the last three weeks, and has only hit over 10 points once in that span (thanks to 6 receptions). Game script will not be in his favor against a 6-3 Miami team, with an underrated front 7.


SIT - Michael Pittman vs GB

Pittman had his big breakout game as a rookie last week, but I’m afraid it’s going to come to a screeching halt this week against Jaire Alexander and the Green Bay Packers. Whether it’s Pittman or Hilton who sees coverage from Alexander, I just feel like this is a game where the Colts will run it 30 times and Rivers will pass it less than 20. Rivers targeted 10 different receivers last week alone, that’s more receivers than children!

SIT - D.J. Moore vs DET

Teddy is banged up and questionable for this week’s matchup against the Lions, and with PJ Walker having that college Temple connection with Robby Anderson, I would not feel comfortable putting Moore in my starting lineup, even after a strong showing last week. The game plan calls for conservative, short plays, and Moore has really become the deep guy on this team.

LOWER EXPECTATIONS

- Salvon Ahmed @ DEN; Ahmed came out of nowhere last week and saw 22 Touches and played a healthy 76% of snaps. But, Matt Breida is back off the injury report and expected to play in this game. There’s a chance Ahmed still leads this backfield, and I believe he does. But I’m cautious about what kind of a role Breida might play.

- Mike Evans vs LAR; Metcalf got completely shut down by Ramsey last week, and with options like Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin, there’s no need for Brady to take the chance with Evans on the outside. I don’t want to call him a sit based on the targets he got last week, but He’s my WR20 for the week..

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