WEEK 13: STARTS AND SITS!
START THEM!
- Nick Foles vs TB. If you don't already know, Tampa Bay has the worst secondary in football, and it still hasn't gotten any better. The Bucs are allowing 289 Passing Yards per game which ranks 31st in the league. Foles has been decent in his return off Injured Reserve. He hasn't won a game but he's only turned the ball over once and he's had at least 250 Pass Yards in each of his two games back. With a better matchup where they will NEED to throw it, I'm sure he will make use of his weapons and put some points on the board. Potential Top 10 QB this week who's still available in about 75% of leagues.
- Ronald Jones II @ JAX. On the flip side, Jacksonville is allowing over 140 total rush yards per game on the season, putting them as a bottom five rush defense. Ronald Jones II himself has improved drastically from last year and has also lead the TB RBs in snaps in 3 out of the last 4 weeks. Given Winston's tendency to turnover the ball, they may want to establish the run early and often. In fact, other than the game against New Orleans, Rojo has seen 15+ touches which have resulted in 15+ Fantasy Points in each game since being named the official starter..
- DeVante Parker vs PHI. Since his Week 5 Bye, DeVante Parker has not had a single Fantasy Performance under 11.9 Points. He has 83 Targets on the year including 10 or more targets in 4 of his last 6 games. In fact, since Preston Williams was put on IR, Parker had a minimum of 10 Targets in every game. Now looking at the matchup, Philly has surprisingly been pretty sturdy against the pass lately. But with no running game and likely playing from behind, Parker is in line for another 10+ Target game..
- Darren Waller @ KC. Waller has transformed from one of the most reliable Fantasy TEs in the league, to the most inconsistent. But there's a good chance he turns that around this weekend in Kansas City. Since Week 9, Waller has seen a significant drop in targets, while Hunter Renfrow saw an increase. Waller averaged 5 targets in that span compared to Renfrow's 6 targets (Not a huge difference but it's a huge difference compared to Weeks 1-8). With Renfrow now on injured reserve and Raiders pushing for a wildcard spot, I'll expect to see Waller bounce-back beginning this week.
OTHER STARTS!
- Kareem Hunt @ PIT
- Tyler Boyd vs NYJ
- Dede Westbrook vs TB
- Darrell Williams vs OAK (Sleeper)
- Benny Snell vs CLE (Sleeper)
- Tyler Higbee @ ARI (Sleeper)
SIT THEM!
- Tevin Coleman @ BAL. Baltimore right now is a Top 3 team against the run, and I do understand the "unstoppable force meets an immovable object" scenario with the 49ers Run Offense, but it's really about the shared workload for me. Matt Breida returned to practice in a limited fashion on Thursday, meaning he could return to take away snaps from Coleman. Even if Breida doesn't return guys like Sanders, Kittle, and Samuel will soak up the passing work, and Raheem Mostert will pop in on 3rd Downs. Coleman has seen 15 or more touches just once since his big Week 8 game. The benefit just simply doesn't outweigh the risk this week..
- Kenyan Drake vs LAR. I'm a full believer that we have seen the best of Drake through weeks 9-11 with the Cardinals. Not only is Chase Edmonds returning, but I have a feeling we will start to see more David Johnson again. In Week 9, Johnson was out obviously. In Week 10, it was his first game back from injury and he took his 6 Touches for 10 Yards and a fumble. He was totally shut down the following week again against SF. But after the week and Johnson's visible frustration with the team, his health isn't an issue. He WILL be involved as I'm sure Edmonds will too. How is yet to be determined, but it makes Drake a lot riskier than it seems.
- Jaylen Samuels vs CLE. With Conner still out, the hope is that Samuels sees an increased workload. But when he doesn't have to throw the ball for Mason Rudolph it seems they like Snell better. Samuels even with Conner out played just 30% of snaps. Given Snell's 49% of snaps accompanied by 21 Carries in his first game off injury, I would expect a similar story this week.
- Courtland Sutton vs LAC. Sutton caught one lone pass last week for 27 Yards against Buffalo. Now Sutton faces Casey Hayward and there is a good chance Rookie QB Drew Lock makes his NFL debut. It could go well, or it could go really bad. We simply don't know enough about Lock or where he will go with the ball. I will say Lock does have a great arm, and Sutton makes for a good deep threat. If you can afford to bench Sutton this week for a better matchup it would be ideal..
OTHER SITS!
- Carlos Hyde vs NE
- Phillip Rivers @ DEN
- 49ers D/ST @ BAL