Week 13 Starts and Sits
START - David Montgomery vs DET
After running for over 100 Yards for the first time in a game this season last week, Monty gets another fantastic matchup against the Detroit Lions, who have given up for fantasy points to RBs than any other team in the league. Plus Monty is playing a healthy 85% of snaps with a workhorse role.
START - Jonathan Taylor @ HOU
Prior to being placed on the COVID List, JT saw his 2nd Most touches in a game with 26 which resulted in 114 Overall Yards and a score. Houston is another team that’s been awful against RBs and JT could capitalize on that in a good game script.
START - Raheem Mostert vs BUF
In his first game back, Mostert had 18 touches and lead the team in snaps. 40% of the offensive snaps isn’t a lot, and there are a lot of mouths to feed, but Buffalo has been pretty shaky against RBs this season and Mostert with an extra week back should return to his explosive self.
START - J.K. Dobbins vs DAL
Similar to JT, last time Dobbins was on the field he saw a 63% Snap Share as well as 17 touches, both being season highs. Now he’s back off the COVID List and gets an easy Dallas team on Tuesday night.
START - Robert Woods @ ARI
Bobby has a good history up against Arizona and has been very consistently targeted over the last couple of weeks. He’s a week to safe play and could be in for a lot of Targets in a close game.
DESPERATE STARTS
- Devontae Booker @ NYJ; Booker may be the clear backup/handcuff to Josh Jacobs, but there’s no guarantee he sees the workload necessary to get you through the week. The Raiders are again traveling west to east for an away game, and we saw how that effected them last week with the Falcons. Booker is only a desperate start for me.
- Keke Coutee vs IND;
The Texans and Colts are going to be playing a tight game, one that will require Watson to air it out at different points during the game. Cooks as we know is the de facto #1 option, and with no Cobb, Fuller, or Stills, Coutee finds himself in a larger role. In PPR, he could give you a 10+ week or more while other receivers try and establish roles.
SIT - Matt Ryan vs NO
Marty Ice has not been having a great year at all. Julio is banged up, and the season is all but lost for the Atlanta Falcons. Plus the last time Ryan played against the Saints this year, he posted 232 Passing Yards with 2 INTs.
SIT - Todd Gurley vs NO
Still being listed as questionable, Gurley finds himself in a horrible situation and horrible matchup. With his arthritic knee getting worse by the day, it’s hard to believe Gurley will be the workhorse for the Falcons anymore, and that’s what he needs at this point to be relevant. Maybe he sneaks in a rushing TD, but the ceiling and floor are incredibly low for TG3.
SIT - Zack Moss @ SF
So it seems as if Moss has established himself as the RB1 in Buffalo, or at least that’s what the snaps/playing says. Although Singletary has still been the guy in catch-up situations, and he has also been getting most of the targets. In a tough matchup on the road (for both teams 🤣), I’m expecting another dud game for Moss.
SIT - Marvin Jones Jr. @ CHI
The Chicago Bears have given up the third least amount of points to WRs on the year. Not only that, but (WR) Danny Amendola has returned to the lineup as well. Marvin Jones has a tough assignment on the outside, while Hockenson and Dola will have much better opportunity, especially Hockenson given that the Bears have allowed the 2nd most points to TEs this season.
SIT - Mike Gesicki vs CIN
Ok so I was the biggest Mike Gesicki truther out there, and he hasn’t been bad as a player. But the opportunities have dwindled down, especially when Tua is starting. Tua at this point in his young career is a reserved QB, and doesn’t take many chances. He’d rather dump it off to the RBs or look for Parker. So although the Bengals have been the WORST team against TEs, and Gesicki is coming off his best game in a while, Tua being under center makes me shy away from testing Gesicki out this week again.
LOWER EXPECTATIONS
- Alvin Kamara @ ATL; Kamara might still be dealing with an injury (or at least we hope that’s the case). He’s being outsnapped by Lat Murray and our touched. This is simply just a different offense with Taysom Hill under center. The good news for Kamara owners is that Brees is feeling better and is eligible to return next week for the start of the Fantasy Playoffs.
- DeAndre Hopkins vs LAR; Since coming off the bye week, DHop has averaged 13.1 PPG, now if you take away his 43 Yard Game winning Hail Mary TD against the Bills, Hopkins has averaged 10.3 PPG, which is pretty bad. Some of it having to do with game script, some being Kyler Murray getting hurt, but mainly because of matchups. He got Stephon Gilmore last week, and gets Jalen Ramsey this week. His schedule gets considerably easier after this week, but it’s ok to pivot to someone like Arob or even Robert Woods if you are in a must win situation.