Week 15 Starts and Sits!
START - Cam Akers vs NYJ Akers has put together 63% and 79% of the offensive snaps over the last two weeks. He now gets the matchup, and game script, of a lifetime at home against the New York Jets. After hitting almost 180 Yards on the ground last week, Akers should continue his workhorse duties and lead teams to victories once again!
START - J.K. Dobbins vs JAC Similar to Akers, Dobbins has been trending upwards in terms of snaps/opportunities in recent weeks. He’s still sharing the load, but scoring in each of the last three weeks has brought his recent PPG to 15.0. With a matchup at home against JAC, Dobbins, even if gets just 10-15 touches, will be a fantastic flex/RB2 play.
START - Brandon Aiyuk @ DAL Correct me if I’m wrong, but 16 TARGETS IN A GAME has to be the most we’ve seen from a rookie this season. Aiyuk is quietly becoming an insane value this year, and with Deebo back on the sidelines, and a great matchup, Aiyuk will continue to deliver weekly high WR2 numbers.
START - T.Y. Hilton vs HOU I didn’t think we would be talking about Hilton again, but here we are. Since Week 12, Hilton has averaged an insane 22.9 PPG!!! In his last 5 Healthy Games against HOU, here are his stats; - 8/110/1 - 6/74/1 - 5/85/0 - 9/199/0 - 4/115/0 He just always does extremely well against the Texans, and considering he’s on a bit of streak now, I don’t see that ending.
START - Cole Kmet @ MIN Kmet is slowly becoming more and more involved in the offense, he’s had career high back to back weeks with 7 Targets, and now Jimmy Graham is banged up and questionable for this week’s matchup. Game script will be in favor of passing, and Kmet is become startable in this poor TE climate.
DESPERATE STARTS - Irv Smith Jr. vs CHI; Kyle Rudolph has already been ruled out, and Irv is coming off one of his best performances of the year. Plus as I’ve mentioned many times, the Bears just can’t cover TEs for whatever reason. The only reason is a DESPERATE start and not just a start, is because Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson still exist, and Irv just isn’t getting enough targets (Tyler Conklin out-targeted him last week). - Lynn Bowden vs NE; no Mike Gesicki, no Myles Gaskin, and a banged up DeVante Parker. Bowden has seen his targets increase greatly over the last couple of weeks, and he’s truly beginning to carve out a role on this offense. Considering Bill’s success against Rookie QBs, game script could very well be in his favor. Worth a shot if you are in a really tough spot.
SIT - Ezekiel Elliot vs SF I understand the meaning “start your studs”, but Zeke just hasn’t been a stud. Since W7, Zeke only has two games over 10 Points. He’s also dealing with a pretty serious calf injury that has been rumored to sideline him for the rest of the year. Although it seems he will try and play through this Sunday. Did I mention the matchup is awful?
SIT - Tua Tagovailoa vs NE This might be aimed more towards people in 2 QB Leagues, but Tua needs to be on your bench in this one. We thought Herbert was untouchable, until NE went into their stadium and took the game 45-0. Tua is a sharp QB, but Bill’s history of essentially torturing Rookie QBs is not ideal for him. Plus he’s without Gesicki, Gaskin, and Parker is banged up.
SIT - Wayne Gallman vs CLE Devonta Freeman has a chance to return tot he lineup Sunday, and although I believe Gallman will still be the lead back, Freeman could take away targets from him. That toppled without Daniel Jones against a front seven consisted of Myles Garrett, is plenty enough for me to stay away from him.
SIT - James Conner @ CIN Not entirely sure what’s going on with Conner, but in his last four matchups, which have been some of the best possible matchups for a RB, Conner has put together 4.0, 6.8 (Against Cincy), 12.9, and 1.8 Points. On paper the matchup is great, but he just can’t be trusted in this do or die situation.
SIT - D.J. Chark @ BAL Gardner Minshew is back, but unfortunately we haven’t seen Chark since Week 9. With another bad matchup against Humphrey/Peters, I’ll be keeping Chark on the bench.
LOWER EXPECTATIONS - Terry McLaurin vs SEA; Terry hasn’t done much to impress the last two weeks, and although the matchup is great and the game script will likely be there, I just don’t trust Dwayne Haskins at all. I’m not saying to sit Terry, because he is still Terry. But if you are picking between him and another option who is at a similar level, then I won’t blame you for going another direction. - Leonard Fournette @ ATL; Something about this just seems, off. Goes from being a healthy scratch to workhorse? Nah not buying it. I know Rojo is out, but don’t be surprised to see a dead even split between McCoy (who was active and involved last week), Fournette, and maybe even Ke’Shawn Vaughn..